Risk for Colorectal Cancer in Patients with Serially Positive Fecal Immunochemistry Test in an Annual Screening Program.

OBJECTIVES: There are patients who do not undergo colonoscopy even if the fecal immunochemistry test (FIT) results are positive and even with repeated positive test results the following year. We aimed to investigate colorectal cancer (CRC) risk in examinees with positive FIT results in our annual screening program. METHODS: We analyzed patients who underwent initial colonoscopy from April 2010 to March 2017 because of positive FIT results using an endoscopy database in our hospital. We investigated the difference in the risk of advanced colorectal neoplasia as a surrogate marker of CRC between those who had an initial positive test and those who had repeated positive tests. RESULTS: A total of 748 patients were included in this analysis. The advanced neoplasia detection rates were 7.6% (50/656) and 18.5% (17/92) for the initial and repeated positive test groups, respectively. Subgroup analysis of those with repeated positive tests revealed that the detection rates in examinees with positive tests 1-2 and >2 years ago were 16.7% (6/36) and 19.6% (11/56), respectively. The odds ratios for advanced neoplasia detection in patients with positive tests 1-2 and >2 years ago compared with those in the initial positive test group were 2.72 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-7.10) and 3.09 (95% CI, 1.47-6.48), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of CRC appears more than doubled in patients with a repeated positive FIT result. Prompt colonoscopy is recommended for FIT-positive cases.

Significance of fecal hemoglobin concentration for predicting risk of colorectal cancer after colonoscopy.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: As the significance of the quantitative fecal immunochemical test (FIT) in patients who previously underwent a colonoscopy is unknown, this study aimed at investigating the association between fecal hemoglobin concentration and the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). METHODS AND RESULTS: We retrospectively analyzed FIT-positive patients who underwent a colonoscopy through our opportunistic annual screening program from April 2010 to March 2017 at the Kyoto Second Red Cross Hospital. We stratified them into no colonoscopy and past colonoscopy (>5 years or ≤5 years) groups based on whether they had a history of undergoing a colonoscopy and analyzed the correlation between fecal hemoglobin concentration and advanced neoplasia or invasive cancer detection in each group. We analyzed 1248 patients with positive FIT results. There were 748 (59.9%), 198 (15.9%), and 302 (24.2%) patients in the no colonoscopy, past colonoscopy (>5 years), and past colonoscopy (≤5 years) groups, respectively. In the no colonoscopy group, the advanced neoplasia detection rate significantly increased with the fecal hemoglobin concentration (P < 0.001). However, no significant trend was observed in the past colonoscopy (both >5 years and ≤5 years) group (P = 0.982). No invasive cancer was detected in the past colonoscopy (≤5 years) group. CONCLUSION: The risk of CRC might be low even if fecal hemoglobin concentration was high, especially in those who underwent colonoscopy within 5 years.

Over- and Under-sampling Approach for Extremely Imbalanced and Small Minority Data Problem in Health Record Analysis.

A considerable amount of health record (HR) data has been stored due to recent advances in the digitalization of medical systems. However, it is not always easy to analyze HR data, particularly when the number of persons with a target disease is too small in comparison with the population. This situation is called the imbalanced data problem. Over-sampling and under-sampling are two approaches for redressing an imbalance between minority and majority examples, which can be combined into ensemble algorithms. However, these approaches do not function when the absolute number of minority examples is small, which is called the extremely imbalanced and small minority (EISM) data problem. The present work proposes a new algorithm called boosting combined with heuristic under-sampling and distribution-based sampling (HUSDOS-Boost) to solve the EISM data problem. To make an artificially balanced dataset from the original imbalanced datasets, HUSDOS-Boost uses both under-sampling and over-sampling to eliminate redundant majority examples based on prior boosting results and to generate artificial minority examples by following the minority class distribution. The performance and characteristics of HUSDOS-Boost were evaluated through application to eight imbalanced datasets. In addition, the algorithm was applied to original clinical HR data to detect patients with stomach cancer. These results showed that HUSDOS-Boost outperformed current imbalanced data handling methods, particularly when the data are EISM. Thus, the proposed HUSDOS-Boost is a useful methodology of HR data analysis.

Combination of PNPLA3 and TLL1 polymorphism can predict advanced fibrosis in Japanese patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Hepatic fibrosis is an independent risk factor for mortality and liver-related events in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). PNPLA3 rs738409 has been associated with fibrosis in viral and non-viral hepatitis. TLL1 rs17047200 also has been associated with developing hepatocellular carcinoma probably via hepatic fibrogenesis. We estimated the impact of these genetic polymorphisms on hepatic fibrosis in Japanese patients with NAFLD. METHODS: We analyzed the association between these genetic variants and the backgrounds of 817 individuals who received health checkups (health check cohort) from 2012 to 2014. Then, we investigated the relationship between genetic variants and liver histology in 258 consecutive patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD in Japan (NAFLD cohort) from 2012 to 2017 (UMIN000027399). RESULTS: The prevalence of PNPLA3 CG/GG in the NAFLD cohort was higher than that in the health check cohort (p < 0.001). The prevalence of patients with advanced fibrosis (stages 3-4) was higher for PNPLA3 genotype CG/GG than CC (p = 0.048) and for TLL1 genotype AT/TT than AA (p = 0.044). The high-risk group which had at least two risk alleles of these variants was more likely to have advanced fibrosis (p = 0.004). Multivariate analysis identified body mass index [odds ratio (OR) 1.123, serum AST (OR 1.037, p = 0.004], serum albumin (OR 0.247, p = 0.032), and genetic high risk (OR 2.632, p = 0.026) as predictors of advanced fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: In Japanese patients with NAFLD, individuals with risk alleles of PNPLA3 and TLL1 may have a risk of advanced fibrosis.

Examination time as a quality indicator of screening upper gastrointestinal endoscopy for asymptomatic examinees.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The significance of examination time of esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) for asymptomatic examinees is yet to be established. We aimed to clarify whether endoscopists who allot more examination time can detect higher numbers of neoplastic lesions among asymptomatic examinees. METHODS: We reviewed a database of consecutive examinees who underwent EGD in our hospital from April 2010 to September 2015. Staff endoscopists were classified into fast, moderate, and slow groups based on the mean examination time of EGD without a biopsy. Neoplastic lesion detection rate among these groups was compared using multiple logistic regression. RESULTS: Of the 55 786 consecutive examinees who underwent EGD, 15 763 asymptomatic examinees who were screened by staff doctors were analyzed. Mean examination time of 13 661 EGD without biopsy was 6.2 min (range, 2-18 min). When cut-off times of 5 and 7 min were used, four endoscopists were classified into the fast (mean duration, 4.4 ± 1.0 min), 12 into the moderate (6.1 ± 1.4 min), and four into the slow (7.8 ± 1.9 min) groups. Neoplastic lesion detection rates in the fast, moderate, and slow groups were 0.57% (13/2288), 0.97% (99/10 180), and 0.94% (31/3295), respectively. Compared with that in the fast group, odds ratios for the neoplastic lesion detection rate in the moderate and slow groups were 1.90 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-3.40) and 1.89 (95% CI, 0.98-3.64), respectively. CONCLUSION: Endoscopists who do not allot adequate examination time may overlook neoplastic lesions in the upper gastrointestinal tract.

The Impact of PNPLA3 rs738409 Genetic Polymorphism and Weight Gain ≥10 kg after Age 20 on Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Non-Obese Japanese Individuals.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in non-obese individuals is inadequately elucidated. We aim to investigate the impact of known genetic polymorphisms on NAFLD and the interaction between genetic risks and weight gain on NAFLD in obese and non-obese Japanese individuals. A total of 1164 participants who received health checkups were included. Participants with excessive alcohol consumption, with viral hepatitis or other inappropriate cases were excluded. Fatty liver was diagnosed by ultrasonography. Participants with a body mass index (BMI) of <18.5 kg/m2, 18.5-22.9 kg/m2, 23.0-24.9 kg/m2 and ≥25 kg/m2 were classified underweight, normal weight, overweight and obese, respectively. Self-administered questionnaire for lifestyle was assessed and a total of 8 previously reported genetic polymorphisms were chosen and examined. In all, 824 subjects were enrolled. The overall prevalence of NAFLD was 33.0%: 0% in underweight, 15.3% in normal weight, 41.1% in overweight and 71.7% in obese individuals. The prevalence of NAFLD is more affected by the G allele of patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3 (PNPLA3) rs738409 in normal weight (odds ratio (OR) 3.52; 95%-CI: 1.42-8.71; P = 0.0063) and in overweight individuals (OR 2.60; 95%-CI: 1.14-5.91; P = 0.0225) than in obese individuals (not significant). Moreover, the G allele of PNPLA3 rs738409 and weight gain ≥10 kg after age 20 had a joint effect on the risk of NAFLD in the normal weight (OR 12.00; 95% CI: 3.71-38.79; P = 3.3×10-5) and the overweight individuals (OR 13.40; 95% CI: 2.92-61.36; P = 0.0008). The G allele of PNPLA3 rs738409 is a prominent risk factor for NAFLD and the interaction between the PNPLA3 rs738409 and weight gain ≥10 kg after age 20 plays a crucial role in the pathogenesis of NAFLD, especially in non-obese Japanese individuals.

Prevalence of and risk factors for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in a non-obese Japanese population, 2011-2012.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in non-obese subjects is not rare in Japan, but it has not been clearly described. To clarify its prevalence and risk factors, we investigated the clinical characteristics of NAFLD in non-obese subjects in comparison with NAFLD in obese subjects in the Japanese general population. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was performed with 5433 subjects who received health checkups from 2011 to 2012. Subjects consuming more than 20 g of alcohol per day and those with autoimmune liver disease, viral hepatitis, uncontrolled biliary disease and insufficient data were excluded. Subjects with a body mass index (BMI) ≥25 kg/m(2) were considered obese, and subjects with a BMI <25 kg/m(2) were considered non-obese. RESULTS: A total of 3271 subjects were enrolled. The overall prevalence of NAFLD was 24.6%: 68.5% in obese subjects and 15.2% in non-obese subjects. The multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that ≥10 kg of weight gain since the age of 20 was significantly associated with NAFLD in non-obese subjects of both genders, and eating an evening meal within 2 h before going to bed 3 days or more per week and drinking <20 g of alcohol per day were negatively associated in non-obese females. Metabolic factors such as waist circumference and triglycerides were predictors of NAFLD in non-obese subjects, and body fat percentage was a predictor in non-obese males. CONCLUSIONS: Lifestyle as well as metabolic factors may play crucial roles in the pathogenesis of NAFLD, even in the non-obese Japanese population.

Role of endoscopic ultrasonography in the diagnosis of early esophageal carcinoma.

Endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) for the diagnosis and staging of early esophageal carcinoma is discussed. Based on the nine-layered structure of esophageal wall, which is in good correspondence with histological layers, depth of carcinoma invasion can be investigated. Ultrasound endoscopes and probes are used for the examination. Ultrasound probes with 20 MHz and 30 MHz transducers can demonstrate the clear images of early esophageal carcinoma by using water filling method, which can discuss the change of the esophageal wall from the surface layer. Although the early esophageal carcinoma is detected by endoscopic findings with or without the dye spraying method by iodine, the diagnosis of depth of carcinoma invasion is not easy. EUS can assist in the diagnosis of depth of carcinoma invasion. Confirming the depth of carcinoma invasion by EUS and the lesion is limited to the mucosa. Endoscopists can decide the indication for endoscopic resection of the lesions.